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tisdag 24 november 2015

Homeland, what about (a) Turkey downing a Russian SU-24 bomber, who is lying?

This article is not written after having seen the next episode of the #Homeland soap but related, it is more about all our "Homelands" especially when the dangers of the Syrian problem becomes obvious, who will pull out the nukes first? Yesterday I wrote that problems are looming for #Russia, not exactly envisioning a Russian warplane being shot down the next day, even though I have taken up the problem of the Syrian airspace earlier and with all rights. Russia is the one nation, the one superpower with more enemies than any other involved in fighting insurgent movements in and around Syria. When #Putin is calling this a "stab in the back" he also implies in strong words that there are illegitimate fighters on Turkish soil that should not be there and his credibility on this one is strong. Various non-ISIS affiliated insurgent groups even the terrorist classed al Nusra Front tied in with al Qaeda are moving back and forth over the Turkey-Syrian borders, even having bases on the Turkish side. Being close to that border is a very dangerous proposition for Russia and the world.

The intelligence community has since far back seen Turkey playing a double-sided game with roots in political ambition, religious ambition and a hatred against the Assad regime. Lately there has been some intents to cover it all up and come out white-washed as a regular NATO nation but is Turkey a credible western ally or just under disguise trying to please the west for its own ambitions?

According the purported Turkish radar plotting the Russian SU-24 bomber crossed a stretch of 3,3 kilometers of Turkish territory and calculating with an airspeed of moderate 1000 km/h which is well below the top-speed of the SU-24, the Russian plane spent approximately 12 seconds over Turkish airspace. It is unlikely that the Turkish F-16s fighters were "hovering" nearby managing to down the SU-24 during that brief period of intrusion, by the way F-16s does not hover. It is more likely that the SU-24 was hit over Syrian grounds.

Turkey is country sometimes with a foot at home and the other on the Middle East side, other times a foot home and the other on the western side. It is a country with ambitions but what it wants to do with it except for being great is unclear. Discussing some theme with middle class Turk, you are seen with obvious mistrust, if you want an answer he/she will answer "I don't know" and when you make your standpoint he/she will say "I don't think so". The Turk seem to be ambivalent regarding a position together with the rest of us and divided as the country itself by the strait of Bosporus. And about us, how much do we know about them Turks, more than Falafel's, Kebab's or Köfte's? I think that we don't know enough, there's mistrust and perhaps the reason why Turkey has not become a full member of the European union.

Russianjet

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